This story was originally published by Dead Spin
The MLB season is winding down, with about 20 games left in the regular season for each team.
There could be some drama to the finish line with the Mets—winners of 10 of the last 11—rolling and the Arizona Diamondbacks closing the gap on the San Diego Padres.
Every division in the American League has a lead of 4.5 games or less. The Los Angeles Dodgers have the best record in the sport, with an 86-57 mark.
Here, I’ll examine the best bets for this slate, using odds from FanDuel and DraftKings.
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
The Red Sox are hosting the Orioles as Baltimore bids to overtake the New York Yankees for the AL East lead.
The Orioles are taking on Kutter Crawford, who holds the highest HR/9 in the MLB at 1.62.
Over his last five starts, Crawford allowed two runs or fewer three times. He had a start on Aug. 18 against Baltimore, where he went 5 1/3 innings, allowing three earned runs, including a home run with just four strikeouts.
He’s been solid lately, but the Orioles’ offense averages 5.17 runs per game on the road and 4.93 per game across the entire season.
Crawford has three starts this season against Baltimore. He had a great outing, including a great start in April. But he allowed five earned runs in May. The Red Sox offense has scored two runs or less in four of their last five games.
Best Bet: Orioles ML (-108) at FanDuel
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Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
The Angels send Griffin Canning to the mound, while the Twins have Pablo Lopez. Canning’s last five starts have been quite Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hygge. Over his last five starts, he’s allowed four, seven, zero, three, and one runs. His most recent outing was the one-run game against the Dodgers. He was excellent.
However, he’s allowed four home runs over that stretch and is fourth in HR/9 at 1.49. The Twins average 4.87 runs per game at home, while the Angels average 3.86 runs on the road.
Lopez is 14-8 with a 4.05 ERA and has allowed five runs over his last five starts, including three in his most recent outing against the Tampa Bay Rays.
In Canning’s starts, the game has gone for eight runs or more in 18 of his 28 starts.
Take the over here despite the Angels offense.
Best Bet: Over 8 Runs (-108) at DraftKings
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
Gavin Stone was recently sent to the injured list, leaving more questions about who will start for the Dodgers on the daily.
We found a reason to like them here at home against the Cubs.
The Cubs are sending Shota Imanaga to the mound with a No. 9 ranking in HR/9 at 1.35. He doesn’t walk many batters, with seven over his last five starts. In that same span, he’s allowed nine runs, including six home runs.
In his last outing, he went seven innings with seven strikeouts without allowing a hit. But it was against the Pirates, who strike out the fourth-most among all teams.
The Dodgers average 4.99 runs per game, and there are no breathers in this lineup.
I think they get to the Cubs while the Chicago offense, which has scored two runs over their last three games, fails to keep up with a lineup led by Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman.
Best Bet: Dodgers ML (-154) at DraftKings
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