This story was originally published by Dead Spin
A collision in shallow left field with the bases loaded broke open Tuesday’s game for the Baltimore Orioles, who watched the White Sox fumble their way to yet another lose and stride a step closer to history.
Chicago now has to play .500 baseball the rest of the way to avoid tying the 1962 New York Mets for the most losses in the modern era.
And the Mets had the excuse of being an expansion team.
The White Sox have been around in some form since 1901. Right now, the team exists to present you with daily value.
Here are our best bets for September 4.
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
I’m not going to provide that kind of buildup and then not back the Orioles to do the job.
Yes, this spread is difficult, but it’s really not that bad of a situation for Baltimore. The Orioles are 6-0 ATS against the White Sox this season (as well as 6-0 SU, but that’s obvious), and they’ve won the past three meetings by at least three runs.
In the two games in Maryland, Baltimore unloaded on Chicago, winning by a combined score of 22-3. The White Sox kept the first three meetings to a two-run margin, but those came in Chicago and before the Pale Hose traded away anyone of value. Chicago has fully committed to this total teardown, regardless if it makes the wrong kind of history.
The White Sox are now essentially sending the Charlotte Knights out to face one of the best teams in the American League. That’s probably not going to go well for them.
Orioles -2.5 (-105 at BetMGM)
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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets
Facing the White Sox three times can get anyone rolling. But even outside of that tonic, the Mets are hot. New York has won 11 of 15, and most of those came against playoff teams. Prior to facing Chicago and Boston, the Mets went through a swing of Baltimore, San Diego and Arizona. They won two series and split with the Padres, going 6-4 through that briar patch. The Mets’ surge is for real.
And it has to be, because it’s becoming clear that only one of the Braves or Mets is going to make it to the playoffs. Neither has enough time to catch Philadelphia, and the Padres and Diamondbacks just aren’t losing enough ground. One of these teams is going to be the No. 6 seed, and the Mets seem to be responding well to the pressure. Tylor Megill has pitched well in his past two starts, and Boston seems to be running out of juice now that it’s looking unlikely to catch up for the wild card.
Mets moneyline (-105 at BetMGM)
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Colin Rea really needs some time off. Milwaukee keeps sending him out there because it keeps winning with him on the mound, but he’s really not pitching well at the moment. Rea gave a strong performance against Cleveland, but his three starts around that have seen 14 earned runs and eight home runs given up. In the postseason, that’s not going to cut it.
However, Milwaukee is the motivated team, as St. Louis is too far out of the race to make a real run. The Cardinals would have to make up five games on both Atlanta and New York just to get to the No. 6 spot, which is unlikely. Throw in that Milwaukee is 7-1 in Rea’s past eight starts, and going with the moneyline just doesn’t make sense.
Instead, back the Cardinals to put some runs on the board. Outside of the Cleveland shutout, Rea’s past four opponents have scored four, five and seven runs against the Brewers. St. Louis is capable of scoring four.
Cardinals Team Total Over 3.5 (-130 at ESPN Bet)
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